Assessing the Market for Micromobility in African and Asian cities

In this episode, Horace and Oliver run over Horace’s insights from his recent research using UN data into city-level potential for micromobility markets globally. We run through the most interesting growth trends in 1800+ cities.

Specifically we look at:

• Contextualizing the rapid growth in car-based urbanization as part of a 5000 year trend

• Why Africa is one of the most interesting potential markets between now and 2035.

• The cities positioned for both the fastest growth and largest increase.

• How the low-income demographics of new migrants to these emerging mega-cities necessitates the need for cheap micromobility transport

• Why we should look at auto-ownership rates to understand the 'low-end' potential of micromobility.

• The likely business models we'll see emerge with the confluence of autonomy, networking and new propulsion options.

• How these vehicles will beat the current incumbents of petrol powered scooters in Asia

The things mentioned in the episode are:

• The blog post that Horace has written on the micromobility markets by city here!!

• The talk by Jeremy Grantham re: the majority of increase in global population coming from Africa between now and 2100 - click here 

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As requested, if anyone has a suggestion for an interview guest for micromobility in India or Africa, please message me on Twitter @oliverbruce. Thanks!